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Military force has got the US nowhere with Iran – here is what a realistic negotiation would look like | Christopher S Chivvis

Making a deal means the US finding a position that doesn’t threaten the Iranian regime’s survival. The alternative is a prolonged and damaging stalemate After months of war, the US has struggled mightily to compel Iran to restore stable passage through the strait of Hormuz, let alone accept Washington’s core demands – the abandonment of Iran’s nuclear programme, dismantlement of its missile forces and cancellation of its regional proxy networks. Iran’s military is badly degraded and its regime disrupted, but as of today it continues to prevent most countries from shipping oil, gas, fertiliser and helium through the strait. The global economy is at risk , Donald Trump’s domestic approval is sliding, Russia is profiting , and US military preparedness – particularly in the Indo-Pacific – is suffering. The US is superior to Iran on every measure of national power that matters. It possesses m

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Why it mattersBriefs

Making a deal means the US finding a position that doesn’t threaten the Iranian regime’s survival. The alternative is a prolonged and damaging stalemate After months of war, the US has struggled mightily to compel Iran to restore stable passage through the strait of Hormuz, let alone accept Washington’s core demands – the abandonment of Iran’s nuclear programme, dismantlement of its missile forces and cancellation of its regional proxy networks. Iran’s military is badly degraded and its regime disrupted, but as of today it continues to prevent most countries from shipping oil, gas, fertiliser and helium through the strait. The global economy is at risk , Donald Trump’s domestic approval is sliding, Russia is profiting , and US military preparedness – particularly in the Indo-Pacific – is suffering. The US is superior to Iran on every measure of national power that matters. It possesses m

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According to The Guardian’s linked item, Military force has got the US nowhere with Iran – here is what a realistic negotiation would look like | Christopher S Chivvis, Making a deal means the US finding a position that doesn’t threaten the Iranian regime’s survival. The alternative is a prolonged and damaging stalemate After months of war, the US has struggled mightily to compel Iran to restore stable passage through the strait of Hormuz, let alone accept Washington’s core demands – the abandonment of Iran’s nuclear programme, dismantlement of its missile forces and cancellation of its regional proxy networks. Iran’s military is badly degraded and its regime disrupted, but as of today it continues to prevent most countries from shipping oil, gas, fertiliser and helium through the strait. The global economy is at risk , Donald Trump’s domestic approval is sliding, Russia is profiting , and US military preparedness – particularly in the Indo-Pacific – is suffering. The US is superior to Iran on every measure of national power that matters. It possesses m

Context

The development sits in VINI’s Global coverage for readers following international affairs, institutions, conflict, diplomacy, economics, and cross-border consequences. The original report is linked so readers can check the source account, follow later updates, and compare new coverage against the first published record. The linked item is dated 2026-05-08T09:30:39+00:00.

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Primary source: Military force has got the US nowhere with Iran – here is what a realistic negotiation would look like | Christopher S Chivvis via The Guardian. VINI cites and links the source; it does not reproduce the publisher’s full article text without rights clearance.

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